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The 2021 Hungarian opposition primary is a planned primary election to select the candidate for Prime Minister[1][2] supported by the opposition parties running together in the 2022 Hungarian parliamentary election. If held, it would be the first countrywide primary election in Hungary. The parties are expected to also select common candidates for single-member districts via the primary.[3] The exact format and electoral system are yet to be determined.
The agreement to hold the primary for the Prime Minister candidate was reached on 15 November 2020 between the following parties: Democratic Coalition, Jobbik, LMP – Hungary's Green Party, Momentum Movement, Hungarian Socialist Party and Dialogue for Hungary. These parties were supported by most opposition voters in the previous election, having received 46.47% of the party list vote. On 20 December 2020, they also agreed on presenting a single party list for the election.[4] A document about the foundations of the common election manifesto was signed by the party leaders on 5 January 2021.[5]
According to the decision, the primary process will be ended by 23 October 2021.
Electoral process[edit]
Primaries will be held for both the PM Candidate and candidates for the National Assembly in all 106 districts. A prime ministerial candidate will have to provide 20 000 signatures in support, while a constituency candidate has to provide 400. Independent candidates can participate, but they have to declare an affiliation to one of the six parties.
Voting is expected to start in August 2021 due to COVID related disruptions. Any eligible voter, or underage voter who will be 18 years old by the date of the parliamentary election can vote in the primaries.[6]
Prime Minister candidates[edit]
Declared candidates[edit]
| Declared candidates | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Date of birth | Party | Background | Reference | |
Klára Dobrev | 2 February 1972 (age 49) | Democratic Coalition |
| [7] | |
András Fekete-Győr | 13 April 1989 (age 32) | Momentum Movement |
| [8] | |
Péter Jakab | 16 August 1980 (age 40) | Jobbik |
| [9] | |
Péter Márki-Zay | 9 May 1972 (age 48) | Independent[b] |
| [10] | |
József Pálinkás | 18 September 1952 (age 68) | New World People's Party |
| [11] | |
Parties in italics are not considered major parties of the opposition, thus it is unclear if those candidates can run under those labels.
Potential[edit]
- Tímea Szabó, co-leader of Dialogue for Hungary (2013–present), member of the National Assembly (2010–present)[12]
- Gergely Karácsony, co-leader of Dialogue for Hungary (2014–present), Mayor of Budapest (2019–present), former Mayor of Zugló (2014–2019), former member of the National Assembly (2010–2014)[13][14]
- Gordon Bajnai, former leader of Együtt (2012–2013), former Prime Minister (2009–2010), former member of the National Assembly (2014)[15]
Declined[edit]
- Ferenc Gyurcsány, leader of Democratic Coalition (2011–present), former Prime Minister (2004–2009), member of the National Assembly (2006–present)[16][17]
- Gábor Vona, former leader of Jobbik (2006–2018), former member of the National Assembly (2010–2018)[18]
- Bernadett Szél, former co-leader of LMP - Hungary's Green Party (2013–2018), member of the National Assembly (2012–present)[19]
Hypothetical polling[edit]
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Klára Dobrev | András Fekete-Győr | Péter Jakab | Gergely Karácsony | Péter Márki-Zay | Others | No answer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2021 | Publicus | 1012 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 13 | - | - |
| Apr 2021 | Medián | 1000 | 22 | 14 | 40 | 34 | 23 | - | - |
| Apr 2021 | Nézőpont | 1000 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Mar 2021 | Civitas | 1007 | 17 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Mar 2021 | Závecz Research | 1000 | 33 | 19 | 35 | 19 | 6 | - | - |
| Feb 2021 | IDEA | 2000 | 30 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 9 | - | - |
| Feb 2021 | Medián | 1000 | 25 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 22 | - | - |
| Jan 2021 | Pulzus | 1000 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Dec 2020 | Századvég | 1000 | 32 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 24 | - | - |
Constituencies[edit]
On 16 November 2020, the Yes Solidarity for Hungary Movement announced that every candidate should be chosen in a primary with a turnout of at least 8–10% and "one candidate [who just] appear in the local media every day" would not be their candidate.[20] In the 2020 by-election for Borsod 06 they supported an independent rather than the candidate of the united opposition.
On 18 November 2020, the Democratic Coalition revealed campaign materials for 38 of the 106 constituencies, each with a DK politician. The party later denied that all of them would definitely be candidates in those particular districts.[21]
In January 2021, Momentum also started to reveal constituency candidates.[22]
Party list[edit]
On 20 December 2020, all six parties agreed on presenting a single party list for the election.[23] The way of creating the list (public election or deals between the parties) is yet unclear.
Notes[edit]
- ^ Leader of Everybody's Hungary Movement, which is not a party
- ^ Leader of Everybody's Hungary Movement, which is not a party
References[edit]
- ^ Közös miniszterelnök-jelöltet állítanak az ellenzéki pártok 2022-re, telex.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Opposition Parties Vow to Settle on Joint PM Candidate by October 2021, hungarytoday.hu
- ^ Az ellenzék közösen indul, mind a 106 választókerületben közös jelöltet indít a Fidesz ellen 2022-ben, 444.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Megszületett a teljes ellenzéki összefogás 2022-re index.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Hungarian opposition parties sign symbolic agreement on future government, intellinews.com
- ^ Eldőlt: Civilek is indulhatnak, és 18 éven aluliak is szavazhatnak az ellenzéki előválasztáson telex.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Mariann, Katona (2021-05-02). "Hivatalos: Dobrev Klára a DK miniszterelnök-jelöltje". Magyar Hang (in Hungarian). Retrieved 2021-05-02.
- ^ Fekete-Győr miniszterelnök-jelölt lesz?, hvg.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Hang, Magyar (2021-01-25). "Jakab Péter bejelentette: indul az előválasztáson". Magyar Hang (in Hungarian). Retrieved 2021-01-25.
- ^ Márki-Zay Péter vállalná a miniszterelnök-jelöltséget 2022-ben, hvg.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Pálinkás József: Szívesen lennék az ellenzék miniszterelnök-jelöltje, 24.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Szabó Tímea lehet a Párbeszéd miniszterelnök-jelöltje Karácsony Gergely szerint, hvg.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Karácsony Gergely: a következő hónapban kiderül, indulok-e a miniszterelnök-jelölti előválasztáson
- ^ Újabb közvélemény-kutatás jósolt ellenzéki győzelmet, 24.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ "Török Gábor nem lenne meglepve, ha Bajnai Gordon nevével is találkoznánk a miniszterelnök-jelöltek között". Magyarnarancs.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 2020-12-30.
- ^ Gyurcsány: Nem leszek 2022-ben miniszterelnök, hvg.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Gyurcsány Ferenc: Ha lesz a DK-nak miniszterelnök-jelöltje, az Klára lesz, telex.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Nem leszek miniszterelnök-jelölt 2022-ben, most másoknak kell lehetőséget adni, mandiner.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Nem lesz miniszterelnök-jelölt Szél Bernadett, mandiner.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ „A színfalak mögötti dolgok szépen karbantartják a lelkiismeretemet” – interjú Szanyi Tiborral debreciner.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Jelölteknek látszó politikusokat mutat be a DK, de a párt szerint ők csak erős emberek 24.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ A Momentum és az LMP már biztosan összecsap az előválasztáson index.hu (in Hungarian)
- ^ Megszületett a teljes ellenzéki összefogás 2022-re index.hu (in Hungarian)
